Bills vs Broncos NFL Divisional Round Betting Preview: Best Bets and Props

January 16, 2026
Bills vs Broncos NFL Odds: Divisional Round Best Bets and Props

If there was ever a time for Josh Allen to finally have a clear path to the Super Bowl, the 2025 NFL playoffs sure feels like it.

Without Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, and even Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals around, it almost feels as if the AFC was clearing the road for Allen and his Bills Mafia to try and do what’s been impossible for Buffalo since joining the league, winning a Super Bowl.

The only problem between Buffalo and a date in next week’s AFC Championship game where either the New England Patriots or Houston Texans will be waiting, is how to first get rid of the Denver Broncos, current NFL betting lines favorite and home team.

After knocking out the Broncos from the playoffs last season, the Bills are hoping they can run it all back again on Saturday afternoon.

But with Denver not looking like last season’s squad in any way, shape or form, could the Bills end up choking at Mile High?

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Bills vs Broncos NFL Divisional Round Game Betting Preview

Buffalo is coming into Sunday’s game like it has a date with destiny.

Meanwhile the Broncos looks ready to show the Bills why teams hated to play in Denver this season (8-1 home record).

With both the game’s betting spread and Moneyline at BetAnything favoring the Broncos ever so slightly (-1.5 ATS, -120 ML) who will end up moving on? Let’s talk football, best bets and NFL playoff odds for this Bills vs Broncos Saturday afternoon game.

Can Denver’s Defense Stop A Bills Betting Upset?

If you ask me, if there’s one team in the AFC I’d be dreading to square off against, especially defensively, it’s Denver.

In simple terms any online betting and pop culture fan can understand, playing against Denver’s front seven and secondary feels like swimming in shark infested waters while donning Lady Gaga’s iconic meat dress.

If lucky, you might escape alive, but one thing is for certain, you will get the pulp beaten out of you along the way.

Denver whose mix of an offense that stands as an image of consistency, a defense that’s as elite as elite can be, and a coaching staff led by a seasoned, title-winning veteran like Sean Payton won’t be an easy bone to pick, that’s a fact.

If Not Now Then When Buffalo, When?

With Buffalo, the combination of four straight Super Bowl losses, alongside continuous recent postseason heartbreaks are starting to open a scar that’s very close to not closing ever again.

Luckily for Buffalo, they have Josh Allen, last season’s MVP, and one of the top players in the league leading the way.

Unluckily for Buffalo, their Allen dependency could end up being its biggest roadblock.

For the Bills to win, a true team effort will be needed here, starting by avoiding simple mistakes, like the ones made against the Jacksonville Jaguars in last week’s wildcard round win.

Smart football will need to be played here, not emotional, over the top ball.

Can Buffalo commit?

Bills vs Broncos NFL Divisional Round Game Best Bets and Props

  • Spread: Broncos -1.5.

Look, if you want to bet on the Bills as NFL betting underdogs, go ahead, but just know this, you are basing yourself solemnly on what Josh Allen will be able to do, sprinkled with what the rest of Buffalo’s lineup can bring to the field.

Instead, take the team with consistency all through their lineup, a dominant home record and an elite defense to win and cover the spread.

Take Denver at -1.5.

  • Best Bills Prop: Josh Allen Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Unless you haven’t figured it out yet, everything football related in Buffalo, especially on offense runs through Allen.

With Denver’s defense putting a bounty on his head, expect Buffalo’s elite passer to scramble in and out of the pocket, trying to avoid sacks and move the chains, thus leading to him beating his over in rushing yards with ease.

- Best Broncos Prop: Josh Allen Over 0.5 Interceptions (+114)

Bringing it all back to Denver’s defense for one last time, with a very enticing +114 price tag to go along, take Denver’s defense pushing Allen to throw at least one interception.

If the Broncos focus on breaking Allen down from the get-go, they should be able to lead him to getting picked at least once, with Pat Surtain II, aka the league’s best cornerback looking like a prime candidate to be the picker.

Bills vs Broncos NFL Divisional Round Game Information

  • Date: Saturday, January 17
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
  • TV: CBS
  • Streaming: CBS Sports HQ

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